Archive for the ‘Entrepreneurship’ Category

Diversification Lessons

Wednesday, April 1st, 2009
Diversify Your Risks!

Diversify Your Risks!

I often speak at small business conferences and am struck by the number of Baby Boomers approaching retirement age who see entrepreneurship and small business formation as the means of financing their pending retirements. This trend appears to be accelerating in response to declining employment in the corporate sector. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2.5 million jobs were lost in the United States since November 2008. The mainstream media are now reporting anecdotal evidence of laid-off workers starting their own businesses as they are unable to find employment elsewhere. CNN reports “No Job? Create Your Own” and the New York Times recently published an article under the headline “Weary of Looking for Work, Some People Create Their Own“. I would be the last person you would expect to be skeptical of this approach, but I am, because I worry that Americans still have not learned the lessons of risk diversification (the term economists use to advise against putting all of your eggs in one basket).

Remember what happened when Enron failed? Enron employees not only lost their incomes when their employment was terminated; they lost their assets and retirement savings that were held in the form of Enron stock. Corporate employees should diversify their risks by investing in stocks unrelated to their employment. Such a risk diversification strategy is much harder for a small business owner to execute. When a small business fails, and the rate of failure is very high, 80% of businesses started today will not be in business five years from now, the entrepreneur not only loses income, he loses an asset – his equity in the business. When you start a business, you often have to provide personal guarantees for services or goods, borrow funds or tap your savings for working capital and otherwise assume financial liability. These are significant exposures in risky ventures. And corporate employment experience is not necessarily good training for running your own business. When I worked for someone else, I didn’t worry about websites or marketing. There were functional departments staffed with specialists that assumed those responsibilities. My role in the company was very well defined. But as an entrepreneur, I have to be a generalist and that involved making a lot of mistakes and learning as I went along. As retirement is several decades away for me, I was and am comfortable with this risk. If I were one or two decades older, I would think more carefully about the consequences of small business failure. Entrepreneurship and small business formation should not be viewed as a panacea for inadequate retirement savings or loss of viable employment.

Clouds on the Horizon

Wednesday, March 11th, 2009
Clouds on the Horizon

Clouds on the Horizon

Crain’s New York Business reports that Lower Manhattan is “on the edge”, citing the following grim statistics:

  • 48,000 fewer workers downtown than before Sept. 11
  • 2.7 million fewer tourists downtown than before Sept. 11
  • 13% of downtown real estate is occupied by AIG, Merrill Lynch and Goldman Sachs
  • 12 million square feet expected to come on the market, excluding financial services consolidation
  • 57,000 residents in lower Manhattan
  • 1/3 of all downtown jobs are tied to financial services, insurance and real estate

The Lower Manhattan community has not fully recovered from the losses caused by the events of September 11 and now faces a much greater threat from the collapse of the financial sector, the leading employer in New York City. Local restaurants report that business is down as much as 40% as compared with this time last year and other small businesses that serve the financial sector, such as car services, law firms, accounting firms, print shops, etc., report comparable declines. Given the lack of diversification of the economy, the mood in the community is grim. The consequences to our local economy here in New York are not likely appreciated elsewhere across the United States, given the entirely appropriate focus on the consequences of the credit crisis for all of us. But for many of us here, the financial crisis is a small business disaster. What has not yet been reported, and I hope will attract the attention of journalists, is that many of the same institutions currently receiving bailouts in the form of TARP funds also received federal government aid in the aftermath of 9-11 – aid which was championed for the benefit of firefighters and emergency rescue workers with urgent medical needs, small businesses and other less powerful constituencies.